$AQUA is alive, but fading. Multiple systems are weakening: dilution risk is moderate (fully diluted valuation 2.8x the market cap), and you could sell, but not in size ($105k traded per day, 0.82% of its market cap daily). The price is down 99% from its all-time high.
break-even from here: +6,460% $100 held here would need to become $6,560 just to get back — and 97 out of 100 coins that fall this deep never see their old high again.
LOW confidence — factors most predictive for DeFi / Protocol assets aren't all wired. Structural read is partial.
01is anyone still building it?structural solvency / livenessPENDING
PENDING V1
can’t measure this honestly yet, so it doesn’t count toward the score — we don’t fake numbers.
02are holders staying or leaving?holder conviction & overhead supplyPENDING
PENDING V1
can’t measure this honestly yet, so it doesn’t count toward the score — we don’t fake numbers.
03could you actually sell?liquidity / exitability51/100
You could sell, but it would sting.
$105,416/24h · bin 6/100.82% turnover · bin 5/10— liquidity is light for its class.
04is anyone actually using it?usage / demandPENDING
PENDING V1
can’t measure this honestly yet, so it doesn’t count toward the score — we don’t fake numbers.
05how much more will be printed?supply overhang & emissions30/100
Meaningful dilution still to come.
36% of supply circulating · bin 4/10FDV/MC 2.8x · bin 3/10— meaningful dilution still to come.
06how is it doing vs similar coins?relative strength / narrative55/100
Moving with the pack.
30d-5% · bin 5/10200d-27% · bin 7/10— middle of its peer pack.
terms used above — hover or tap any:
03 · COMMON QUESTIONSanswers generated from this coin’s frozen readout · not advice
Is Aquarius ($AQUA) dead?
Not dead, but fading. As of 2026-07-14, Aquarius scores 46/100 on bagcheck’s structural aliveness scan — WEAKENING. Multiple systems are weakening. Aliveness measures whether the project still works, not whether the price recovers.
Is Aquarius a good investment?
bagcheck doesn’t rate investments — this is information, not advice. What the frozen record shows as of 2026-07-14: a structural aliveness score of 46/100 (WEAKENING), a price 99% below its all-time high, a drawdown cohort (down 95%+) in which historically only ~3% of coins ever reclaimed their high. What you do with that is yours.
Will Aquarius ($AQUA) recover?
Nobody can predict price, and bagcheck doesn’t try. Historically, of coins down 95%+ (3-year window), about 3% reclaimed their all-time high; break-even to ATH from the scan price needs +6,460%. The WEAKENING aliveness read says whether the project still works — a precondition for recovery, not a promise of it.
MEMBERS · ENGINE BOTTOM LINEthe engine’s verbatim verdict — not rendered publicly
