$XLM

Stellar ·
archetype: rwa

$XLM is alive, but showing strain. It’s actively built (86 commits in 4 weeks) — but dilution risk is moderate (fully diluted valuation 1.5x the market cap). The price is down 79% from its all-time high.

67/100
HIGH
−79%
$0.1838
10/10 top tier
01 · RECLAIM OUTLOOK — WILL THE PRICE COME BACK?
PRICE $0.1838 ATH $0.8756 (JAN 2018) DRAWDOWN −79.0% RECLAIM 4.8×
break-even from here: +380% $100 held here would need to become $480 just to get back — and 82 out of 100 coins that fall this deep never see their old high again.
02 · STRUCTURE — 5 MEASURED · 1 PENDING scores 0–100 · peer bins cited vs 2538 scored peers
01 is anyone still building it? structural solvency / liveness 100/100

Actively built and maintained.

86 commits/4wk84 contributorslast commit 0d ago — actively developed.
02 are holders staying or leaving? holder conviction & overhead supply PENDING
PENDING V1

can’t measure this honestly yet, so it doesn’t count toward the score — we don’t fake numbers.

03 could you actually sell? liquidity / exitability 71/100

Easy enough to sell.

$106,558,984/24h · bin 10/101.70% turnover · bin 4/10 — tradeable.
04 is anyone actually using it? usage / demand 79/100

Genuinely used.

883,531 active addresses/day · bin 10/1030d trend -25.3% · bin 6/10 — usage is strong for its peer group. [RWA bins, provisional]
05 how much more will be printed? supply overhang & emissions 30/100

Meaningful dilution still to come.

68% of supply circulating · bin 4/10FDV/MC 1.5x · bin 3/10no max supply — meaningful dilution still to come — uncapped supply (perpetual emission risk, capped).
06 how is it doing vs similar coins? relative strength / narrative 35/100

Moving with the pack.

30d -3% · bin 4/10200d -14% · bin 4/10 — middle of its peer pack.
terms used above — hover or tap any:
03 · COMMON QUESTIONS answers generated from this coin’s frozen readout · not advice

Is Stellar ($XLM) dead?

No, but it’s showing strain. As of 2026-07-14, Stellar scores 67/100 on bagcheck’s structural aliveness scan — STRAINED. Parts of the system are under pressure. Aliveness measures whether the project still works, not whether the price recovers.

Is Stellar a good investment?

bagcheck doesn’t rate investments — this is information, not advice. What the frozen record shows as of 2026-07-14: a structural aliveness score of 67/100 (STRAINED), a price 79% below its all-time high, a drawdown cohort (down 70-85%) in which historically only ~18% of coins ever reclaimed their high. What you do with that is yours.

Will Stellar ($XLM) recover?

Nobody can predict price, and bagcheck doesn’t try. Historically, of coins down 70-85% (3-year window), about 18% reclaimed their all-time high; break-even to ATH from the scan price needs +380%. The STRAINED aliveness read says whether the project still works — a precondition for recovery, not a promise of it.

MEMBERS · ENGINE BOTTOM LINE the engine’s verbatim verdict — not rendered publicly
SAME SHELF — RWA all 265 rwa coins →
bagcheck v0.17.1 · snapshot 2026-07-14 v16 · scored monthly · batch of 2026-07-14 · frozen JSON ⇩ sha256 ab4c…f97b Information, not advice.