{
 "id": "predictions",
 "symbol": "PRDT",
 "name": "Predictions",
 "archetype": "DeFi / Protocol",
 "archetype_reason": "category match: 'decentralized finance (defi)'",
 "contract": {
  "chain": "binance-smart-chain",
  "address": "0x854b5f2bfcc5b7cd05d6259cf5d035af57cfa301"
 },
 "price": {
  "price_usd": 1.07,
  "ath_usd": 1.26,
  "ath_date": "2025-11-07T16:10:44.698Z",
  "market_cap": 25671668,
  "volume_24h": 28838,
  "price_chg_30d_pct": -1.14632,
  "price_chg_60d_pct": -1.54248,
  "price_chg_200d_pct": -6.04959,
  "coingecko_url": "https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/predictions"
 },
 "provenance": {
  "batch_date": "2026-07-14",
  "bagcheck_version": "0.17.1",
  "snapshot_id": "2026-07-14 v16",
  "label": "scored monthly \u00b7 batch of 2026-07-14"
 },
 "refused": false,
 "reclaim": {
  "severity": "SHALLOW",
  "line": "Down 15% from ATH \u2014 reclaiming it needs 1.2\u00d7 from here. Historically ~55% of assets this deep reclaim ATH within 3y.",
  "drawdown_pct": 15.0,
  "reclaim_multiple": 1.2,
  "base_rate_label": "down <50%",
  "base_rate": 0.55,
  "base_rate_provisional": true,
  "break_even_note": "Break-even to ATH needs 1.2\u00d7. (Pass --entry for break-even to your cost basis.)"
 },
 "structure": {
  "alive_score": 43.7,
  "aliveness": "WEAKENING",
  "aliveness_note": "Multiple systems weakening; the project is in decline.",
  "mechanical_aliveness": "WEAKENING",
  "band_capped": false,
  "confidence": "HIGH",
  "confidence_detail": "measuring 5 of 6 factors (80% of the weight that matters for a DeFi / Protocol asset)"
 },
 "bottom_line": "Down 15%, aliveness reads WEAKENING. Being functional is not recovery \u2014 the reclaim base rate is ~55%.",
 "factors": [
  {
   "factor": "solvency",
   "label": "Structural solvency / liveness",
   "weight": 0.22,
   "status": "measured",
   "score": 2.2,
   "detail": "0 commits/4wk, 0 contributors, last commit 253d ago \u2014 development has effectively stopped.",
   "note": ""
  },
  {
   "factor": "conviction",
   "label": "Holder conviction & overhead supply",
   "weight": 0.18,
   "status": "measured",
   "score": 95.0,
   "detail": "holders +3,607/30d (+8.9%, Bin 10/10 vs 278 DeFi / Protocol peers) \u2014 holders are accumulating against the drawdown. [DeFi / Protocol bins, provisional]",
   "note": ""
  },
  {
   "factor": "liquidity",
   "label": "Liquidity / exitability",
   "weight": 0.18,
   "status": "measured",
   "score": 37.0,
   "detail": "$28,838/24h (Bin 5/10 vs 358 DeFi / Protocol peers), 0.11% turnover (Bin 3/10) \u2014 liquidity is light for its class.",
   "note": ""
  },
  {
   "factor": "usage",
   "label": "Usage / demand",
   "weight": 0.2,
   "status": "pending",
   "score": null,
   "detail": "",
   "note": "daily active addresses + 30d trend (wired: Coin Metrics natives/majors, Santiment tokens); transfer-activity proxy (wired: Tron/Blockscout explorers, labeled tier); derivatives OI & funding (v1); for AI/DePIN: network resource demand \u2014 GPU-hours / storage deals / subnet emissions share (v1)"
  },
  {
   "factor": "supply",
   "label": "Supply overhang & emissions",
   "weight": 0.12,
   "status": "measured",
   "score": 35.0,
   "detail": "40% of supply circulating (Bin 4/10 vs 360 DeFi / Protocol peers), FDV/MC 2.5x (Bin 4/10) \u2014 meaningful dilution still to come.",
   "note": ""
  },
  {
   "factor": "strength",
   "label": "Relative strength / narrative",
   "weight": 0.1,
   "status": "measured",
   "score": 65.0,
   "detail": "30d -1% (Bin 6/10 vs 360 DeFi / Protocol peers), 200d -6% (Bin 8/10) \u2014 outperforming its peer group.",
   "note": ""
  }
 ],
 "warnings": [
  "Base rate is PROVISIONAL (placeholder, not yet calibrated). Directional only."
 ]
}