{
 "id": "ultima",
 "symbol": "ULTIMA",
 "name": "Ultima",
 "archetype": "L1 / Chain",
 "archetype_reason": "category match: 'layer 1 (l1)'",
 "contract": {
  "chain": "binance-smart-chain",
  "address": "0x5668a83b46016b494a30dd14066a451e5417a8b8"
 },
 "price": {
  "price_usd": 2488.49,
  "ath_usd": 22851,
  "ath_date": "2025-02-14T11:01:57.263Z",
  "market_cap": 210795987,
  "volume_24h": 10908112,
  "price_chg_30d_pct": 8.5517,
  "price_chg_60d_pct": -15.84653,
  "price_chg_200d_pct": -53.09875,
  "coingecko_url": "https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ultima"
 },
 "provenance": {
  "batch_date": "2026-07-14",
  "bagcheck_version": "0.17.1",
  "snapshot_id": "2026-07-14 v16",
  "label": "scored monthly \u00b7 batch of 2026-07-14"
 },
 "refused": false,
 "reclaim": {
  "severity": "DEEP",
  "line": "Down 89% from ATH \u2014 reclaiming it needs 9.2\u00d7 from here. Historically ~8% of assets this deep reclaim ATH within 3y.",
  "drawdown_pct": 89.1,
  "reclaim_multiple": 9.2,
  "base_rate_label": "down 85-95%",
  "base_rate": 0.08,
  "base_rate_provisional": true,
  "break_even_note": "Break-even to ATH needs 9.2\u00d7. (Pass --entry for break-even to your cost basis.)"
 },
 "structure": {
  "alive_score": 56.6,
  "aliveness": "WEAKENING",
  "aliveness_note": "Multiple systems weakening; the project is in decline.",
  "mechanical_aliveness": "STRAINED",
  "band_capped": true,
  "confidence": "MEDIUM",
  "confidence_detail": "measuring 4 of 6 factors (60% of the weight that matters for a L1 / Chain asset)"
 },
 "bottom_line": "Down 89%, aliveness reads WEAKENING. Being functional is not recovery \u2014 the reclaim base rate is ~8%.",
 "factors": [
  {
   "factor": "solvency",
   "label": "Structural solvency / liveness",
   "weight": 0.22,
   "status": "pending",
   "score": null,
   "detail": "",
   "note": "dev activity (wired); treasury runway, fees/revenue (v1)"
  },
  {
   "factor": "conviction",
   "label": "Holder conviction & overhead supply",
   "weight": 0.2,
   "status": "measured",
   "score": 35.0,
   "detail": "holders +35/30d (+0.1%, Bin 4/10 vs 169 L1 / Chain peers) \u2014 holder base is holding steady. [L1 / Chain bins, provisional]",
   "note": ""
  },
  {
   "factor": "liquidity",
   "label": "Liquidity / exitability",
   "weight": 0.18,
   "status": "measured",
   "score": 77.0,
   "detail": "$10,908,112/24h (Bin 9/10 vs 308 L1 / Chain peers), 5.17% turnover (Bin 7/10) \u2014 tradeable.",
   "note": ""
  },
  {
   "factor": "usage",
   "label": "Usage / demand",
   "weight": 0.18,
   "status": "pending",
   "score": null,
   "detail": "",
   "note": "daily active addresses + 30d trend (wired: Coin Metrics natives/majors, Santiment tokens); transfer-activity proxy (wired: Tron/Blockscout explorers, labeled tier); derivatives OI & funding (v1); for AI/DePIN: network resource demand \u2014 GPU-hours / storage deals / subnet emissions share (v1)"
  },
  {
   "factor": "supply",
   "label": "Supply overhang & emissions",
   "weight": 0.12,
   "status": "measured",
   "score": 55.0,
   "detail": "85% of supply circulating (Bin 7/10 vs 310 L1 / Chain peers), FDV/MC 1.2x (Bin 5/10) \u2014 meaningful dilution still to come.",
   "note": ""
  },
  {
   "factor": "strength",
   "label": "Relative strength / narrative",
   "weight": 0.1,
   "status": "measured",
   "score": 65.0,
   "detail": "30d +9% (Bin 9/10 vs 310 L1 / Chain peers), 200d -53% (Bin 5/10) \u2014 outperforming its peer group.",
   "note": ""
  }
 ],
 "warnings": [
  "Base rate is PROVISIONAL (placeholder, not yet calibrated). Directional only."
 ]
}